Court-ordered redistricting, combined with retirements, means huge turnover in the Sunshine State’s House delegation. “Of Florida’s 27 House seats, at least seven will be filled by new faces in January, and as many as 15 could reasonably see turnover,” Mike DeBonis notes in a curtain-raiser. “Until Nov. 8, no day will be more crucial than today in shaping the next Congress.”
-- In Florida’s Senate race, incumbent Marco Rubio is expected to handily win the GOP primary and Rep. Patrick Murphy is likely to beat Alan Grayson for the Democratic nomination. Rubio is then the favorite in November.
-- These are the five most exciting Florida primaries to watch tonight:
- Tim Canova, the Bernie Sanders-backed challenger to Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Canova is expected to lose. The question is by how large of a margin.
- Alan Grayson’s wife is seeking to replace her husband (who is running for Senate). She is battling Grayson’s former chief of staff!
- Incumbent Democrat Corrine Brown is trying to overcome the twin obstacles of a major redistricting and a 22-count federal indictment.
- In the Naples-area district that opened with Curt Clawson’s retirement, Francis Rooney, former U.S. ambassador to the Vatican and a major GOP fundraiser, appears to have the upper hand over Chauncey Goss, son of former congressman and CIA director Porter Goss; and Dan Bongino, an ex-Secret Service agent who twice failed in Maryland congressional bids.
- In the redrawn 2nd district, surgeon Neal Dunn and lawyer Mary Thomas have clashed over who had closer ties to Charlie Crist back when he was a Republican.
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