TargetSmart's Tom Bonier told MSNBC's Lawrence O'Donnell on Tuesday night his firm's methodology is more accurate because his pollsters call a random sample of the actual 3.6 million voters who already have cast early ballots and ask them how they cast their ballots, as well as obtain demographic data about them.
Update: Click HERE to read the poll
Much of Clinton's rise in support comes from registered Republicans who abandoned the party's nominee Donald Trump, according to the poll."We can construct a sample that's perfectly representative of the people who've voted so far," Bonier said.
“This includes absentee ballot voters who tend to trend more Republican and 28% of those voters are crossing over, when we look at Democrats,” said TargetSmart’s Bonier, “there’s almost no crossing over. Trump has only won 6% of those voters. Yes. These are people that have already voted, and these Republicans are not just saying it to pollsters, but they’re doing it in Florida. These are voters that are not waiting for election day.”
If this poll result holds up, there’s absolutely no path to victory for the Republican campaign, as there is literally no likely scenario resulting in electoral victory for Trump when he loses Florida to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.
TargetSmatrts,William And Mar y College Survey Will Be Out Later Today We Will Update after it is released
No comments:
Post a Comment